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What are the GC narratives to follow at Paris-Nice and Tirreno-Adriatico 2026?
CyclistWhat are the GC narratives to follow at Paris-Nice and Tirreno-Adriatico 2026?As the season shifts a gear, Paris-Nice and Tirreno-Adriatico join forces in what is one of the busiest and most telling weeks of pro cycling throughout the year. Set to include a whole host of Grand Tour contenders, bar a running-scared Tadej Pogaar, the two races have often acted as the first litmus tests ahead of the Classics and first Grand Tours.Touted as the Race to the Sun, Paris-Nice is centred around a series of punchy stages, with a team time-trial placed right after a sprinter-friendly opening. Jonas Vingegaard will use the race to make his 2026 debut, joined by Oscar Onley and Juan Ayuso, who both got their seasons underway in Portugal last month. Over in Italy, the Tirreno-Adriatico parcours looks rather tame. There are some hilly stages, even some gravel, but a lack of a mountaintop finish means the race could be blown wide open. Isaac del Toro is the standout name, but two-time winner Primo Rogli, the in-form Antonio Tiberi and Matteo Jorgenson will travel to Italy for a weeks racing. As we prepare to chew into the GC fat later this week, lets take a look at the key narratives set to dominate conversation during Paris-Nice and Tirreno-Adriatico. Related Posts The best photos from men's Strade Bianche 2026 Seixas to the Tour, Red Bull balanced, but leaders wain: What can we learn from 2026's early results? Tirreno-Adriatico 2026 preview: Routes, favourites, how to watch and start lists Paris-Nice 2026 preview: Route, favourites, how to watch and start list Jonas Vingegaard needs to break his Paris-Nice curseA.S.O./Billy CeustersJonas Vingegaard has had an incredibly strange offseason clouded by several incidents. His coach suddenly left Visma-Lease a Bike, citing creative constraints, and teammate Simon Yates threw in the towel on his pro career in a surprise January announcement. Since then, the Dane has put off his 2026 debut after skirting the UAE Tour, a decision that came soon after a training crash in Spain allegedly caused by a fan following him on a descent. Fair enough, its not been an easy couple of months for Vingegaard, who makes his most delayed season debut since 2020. Hes chosen Paris-Nice to get things going, a race that hasnt come naturally in the past. Back in 2023, this came in the form of a rather comprehensive thrashing by not only Tadej Pogaar but also David Gaudu. Last year, the Visma leader had to scoop himself up off the concrete after a crash ruled him out of the race just 24 hours after losing a mountaintop sprint to Joao Almeida. Its not quite the affirmation of form Vingegaard would have expected.While Vingegaard is the most-proven GC rider on paper, I wouldnt be surprised if Juan Ayuso manages to prolong Vingegaards Paris-Nice curse. Ayuso looks to be in great shape, having come off the Volta ao Algarve with a big race win under his belt. The Spaniard has already been chasing bonus seconds during the flat opening stages, with some real gusto behind him since moving from UAE to Lidl-Trek in the winter. Vingegaard desperately needs a big win. Its been a while since he won a week-long stage race. If he doesnt win Paris-Nice, some serious question marks will be placed upon the two-time Tour winner.Primo Rogli makes his comeback ahead of a crucial seasonMaximilian Fries/Red Bull Content PoolAfter an offseason spent waltzing around the Winter Olympics and luxury dinners, Primo Rogli will make his return to racing at Tirreno-Adriatico, a race he has won twice previously.Rogli has won a stage race every year since 2017. That has included a WorldTour stage race each year since 2018, so history dictates that he will be able to pick up a major race of some sort this year. However, judging by his schedule, Tirreno-Adriatico and Itzulia Basque Country will be the only openings without a Pogaar-shaped obstacle in his way before the Vuelta.This year, Rogli finds himself further down the pecking order at Red Bull-Bora-Hansgrohe. That will put pressure on the Slovenian to prove himself if he is to hold onto leadership duties later in the year, especially the Vuelta a Espaa. To add to the pressure, hes also got a contract to negotiate for 2027. If he picked up another Tirreno trident, he could stabilise his future prospects or use that as leverage to find leadership duties elsewhere. Otherwise, he could solidify his future at Red Bull and foster full confidence ahead of the Vuelta.Vauquelin, Onley and Rodrguez: Ineoss wealth of strengthA.S.O./Billy CeustersAfter their shopping spree over the winter, Ineos Grenadiers have brought all their new toys to Paris-Nice. Oscar Onley, the teams priciest signing, joins Kvin Vauquelin and Ineos mainstay Carlos Rodrguez at the race. For further support, French champion Dorian Godon arrives at his home race with an appetite to win a stage or two. This team are overwhelmed by talent. However, will they be able to use all these stars to their collective benefit, or will it be a discordant approach akin to 2010s Movistar or dare I say Pidcock-era Ineos? The weeks profile suits Onley and Vauquelin well. I mean, the Frenchman would have led a team in his own right if he were still at Arka-B&B Hotels, but alas, hes here to support Onley. As a double threat, theyve got a real ace up their sleeves when compared to relatively weak opposition at Visma or Lidl-Trek, who look more like one-man shows on hillier terrain.Vauquelin and Onley have already collaborated at the Volta ao Algarve, which ended with both finishing inside the top five overall. Rodrguez has tried balancing out co-leadership duties in the past, but itll be intriguing to see how he goes this year with even fiercer competition at the top of Ineoss pecking order. If they unite, we could start to see Ineos as a viable opponent to the likes of UAE Team Emirates or Red Bull in stage races. Thats a UAE without Pogaar, mind you.Is Antonio Tiberi a genuine contender?UAE Tour/SprintCyclingAgencyAntonio Tiberi has been in scintillating form in 2026. He picked up his first WorldTour win at the UAE Tour, then managed to hold on and finish second in the overall standings. To top that off, he finished in fourth at the Volta a la Comunitat Valenciana and has picked up two podium finishes at one-day races. Based on results alone, hes one of the most consistent riders at the moment.His biggest challenge yet, however, will come at Tirreno-Adriatico. The Bahrain Victorios rider will have just one time-trial to lean on, so his climbing will be scrutinised intensely. The competition is also much stiffer than it was at his two previous stage race tests this year, given the participation of Isaac del Toro, Primo Rogli, Jai Hindley and Richard Carapaz. If Tiberi is to underline his winter form, hell need to prove that those results werent a freak blip during the calendars early months.Weve often seen these winter sensations struggle once the real contenders get in full flight come the spring. However, since Tiberi has some Grand Tour results to his name, this year could go the other direction and act more as a graduation for the 24-year-old, who has been steadily moving up the GC ranks over the past two seasons. Bear in mind that Tiberi will make his Tour de France debut this summer, so if he manages to impress here at Tirreno-Adriatico, he may end up a contender for the white jersey.A pre-Tour TTT tasterA.S.O./Billy CeustersParis-Nice has carved out a niche for itself as the only stage race to preserve a yearly team time-trial. In 2026, the race of truth will hold extra importance as a trial run ahead of the Tour de France, which starts with a team time-trial around Barcelona. This will be one of just two WorldTour TTTs between now and the Tour, so Paris-Nices third stage will provide some insight into which teams have their TTT setup dialled in.The Tours first stage will use Paris-Nice rules, which means the time of the first rider will be taken into account for the stage but individual times for GC, rather than the old format where the team would be judged on the fourth or fifth rider. As the name suggests, the same rules will apply here, so we could see teams fine-tune their tactical plan ahead of the Tour as well. In recent years, this has taken the form of a glorified leadout train rather than the old-school team time-trial line.Jonas Vingegaards Visma-Lease a Bike will look quite similar to the team that arrives in Barcelona in July. Its a similar story for Ineos Grenadiers, who will likely bring a fair chunk of their Paris-Nice roster to the TOur. This will give these teams a chance to compare their performance ahead of the summer. While Red Bull and UAE havent brought their own Tour-ready teams, itll give us some clues as to how the Grand Dpart will unravel in a few months time.Elections alter the finish to Paris-NiceA.S.O./Billy CeustersThe final stage of Paris-Nice takes on a very different form this year. Due to mayoral elections across France, the eighth stage wont use the traditional Promenade des Anglais finish. This means we wont be climbing the usual climbs of the Col dze and Col des Quatre Chemins. Instead, the crest of the final climb will come at 20km to go. Overall, this means the stage is easier: while the old route had four or five category 1 or 2 climbs, this years route has three, mostly in the first two-thirds.While riders over the past decade have had the chance to roll the dice on the final stage, itll be much tougher to leave it all on the table this time around. As a result, the GC is likely to be decided ahead of the final stage, which may reduce some of the Paris-Nice charm away from the usually must-see final day around the Cte dAzur.If its a success, will the organisers swap the Promenade des Anglais for the Allianz Riviera finale? I doubt it. Theres something special about the Col dze.The post What are the GC narratives to follow at Paris-Nice and Tirreno-Adriatico 2026? appeared first on Cyclist.
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